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Constituent dispersion · breadth vs the index

AW40 — Agentic Winners 40 (EW)

38/40 covered · 95% by weight · benchmark: AW40 price · closes through 2026-10-06 ·holdings as of 2026-10-06

Concentration 12.5% in top 5 40 effective names · HHI 250
RS vs S&P 500 21d -3.95pp sector return − SPY
RS vs Nasdaq-100 21d -8.45pp sector return − QQQ
Broad decline - breadth is falling with price. Last 21 sessions — price -2.79% · A/D -48 (-1.26/name)
AW40 price
Cumulative advance / decline of constituents — rises when more names are up than down; turns before price at inflections

Divergence over time — price vs breadth, by horizon

The hero read is the 1-month picture; here the same price↔breadth divergence across 1 week / 1 month / 1 quarter, computed over the 126-session history. A/D /name is net advancers-minus-decliners per covered constituent; % beating Δ and median−ETF Δ show how participation shifted. Price rising while those fall = the move is narrowing under the surface.

HorizonPriceA/D /name% beating ΔMedian−ETF ΔRead
1 week +3.33% +1.11 -25pp -2.87pp Confirming ↑
1 month -2.79% -1.26 -50pp -22.75pp Confirming ↓
1 quarter +17.82% +0.87 -25pp -2.97pp Confirming ↑

Over the last 126 sessions: price up +24.79%, breadth up (+1.68/name) · % beating 50→25 · median−ETF -0.04pp→-3.05pp.

Stocks above their moving average — participation breadth

Of the 38 covered constituents, the share trading above each simple moving average — the classic breadth gauge. A firm index price with a low %-above-MA is a narrow, top-heavy tape. As of 2026-10-06.

5-day 78.95% 30/38 above
20-day 52.63% 20/38 above
50-day 52.63% 20/38 above
100-day 68.42% 26/38 above
150-day 71.05% 27/38 above
200-day 68.42% 26/38 above
% of constituents above their 50-day average — breadth over the last year; 50% is the participation midpoint

New highs & new lows — by horizon

How many of the 38 covered constituents closed today at a new high (or low) over each window, and the net. A shrinking net as the index holds up = fewer names leading.

HorizonNew highsNew lowsNet
5-Day 16 (42%) 2 (5%) +14
1-Month 4 (11%) 1 (3%) +3
3-Month 4 (11%) 0 (0%) +4
6-Month 4 (11%) 0 (0%) +4
52-Week 1 (3%) 0 (0%) +1
YTD 3 (8%) 0 (0%) +3

Dispersion by window

WindowETFMedianMedian − ETF Up / DownBeat / Lag±1% bandDispersion
1d +0.17% +0.30% +0.13pp 24 / 14 21 / 17 17 of 38 ±2.77%
5d +3.33% +2.50% -0.83pp 26 / 12 16 / 22 7 of 38 ±8.01%
21d -2.79% -2.95% -0.16pp 14 / 24 19 / 19 3 of 38 ±10.98%
YTD -7.00% -11.25% -4.25pp 17 / 21 17 / 21 1 of 38 ±26.78%

Median − ETF below zero means the typical name is lagging the cap-weighted index — the move is top-heavy. "Beat" counts constituents outperforming the ETF over the window. Dispersion is the cross-sectional standard deviation of constituent returns — high = a stock-picker's tape, low = pure beta.

What drove the move — contribution = weight × return

Today (1d)

  • 3994.T+5.95%+0.15pp
  • SHOP+2.70%+0.07pp
  • 4180.T+2.26%+0.06pp
  • MNDY+1.97%+0.05pp
  • AMZN+1.95%+0.05pp
  • TEM-13.85%-0.35pp
  • CRM-2.09%-0.05pp
  • HUBS-1.60%-0.04pp
  • IOT-1.53%-0.04pp
  • TEAM-1.36%-0.03pp

This month (21d)

  • PTC+36.86%+0.92pp
  • META+19.80%+0.49pp
  • SHOP+13.34%+0.33pp
  • TEM+11.39%+0.28pp
  • PLTR+10.18%+0.25pp
  • 0268.HK-17.76%-0.44pp
  • SE-13.88%-0.35pp
  • PATH-13.76%-0.34pp
  • CRM-13.21%-0.33pp
  • APP-13.03%-0.33pp

Each name's contribution = its index weight × its return — the percentage points it added to (green) or subtracted from (red) the ETF's move. Computed across covered names.

Leaders & laggards (21-day)

  • PTC+36.86%
  • META+19.80%
  • SHOP+13.34%
  • TEM+11.39%
  • PLTR+10.18%
  • 0268.HK-17.76%
  • SE-13.88%
  • PATH-13.76%
  • CRM-13.21%
  • APP-13.03%

AW40 — constituent leadership race

$100 in each covered AW40 constituent at 2026-01-07, rebased to 100. Watch leadership change hands.

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Each covered constituent started at $100 at the window open; the bars race by total return (top 12 shown). Decision-support, not investment advice.

Constituents — 38 covered · click a column to sort

Symbol Weight Last 1d 5d 21d YTD RS rank
MSFT Microsoft 2.50% 529.30 +0.78% +4.00% +5.92% +9.70% 84
AMZN Amazon 2.50% 256.29 +1.95% +3.90% -0.86% +11.03% 58
GOOGL Alphabet 2.50% 347.68 +0.35% +1.98% +2.72% +11.16% 68
META Meta 2.50% 738.88 -0.41% +0.01% +19.80% +12.03% 95
AAPL Apple 2.50% 333.63 +0.22% +1.28% +4.27% +22.84% 79
NVDA Nvidia 2.50% 239.24 +0.14% +5.29% +3.97% +28.44% 76
PLTR Palantir 2.50% 192.07 +1.41% +2.73% +10.18% +8.06% 87
NOW ServiceNow 2.50% 137.97 +1.39% +6.18% -2.33% -9.94% 50
CRM Salesforce 2.50% 224.99 -2.09% -0.14% -13.21% -14.86% 8
WDAY Workday 2.50% 186.55 -1.28% -1.38% -4.72% -13.14% 42
SAP SAP 2.50% 210.46 +1.31% -0.18% -2.16% -13.36% 53
ORCL Oracle 2.50% 144.77 +1.61% +5.07% -8.82% -25.27% 34
PATH UiPath 2.50% 13.10 -0.46% +6.33% -13.76% -20.07% 5
ADBE Adobe 2.50% 238.12 -0.28% +2.12% -10.65% -31.96% 26
INTU Intuit 2.50% 289.81 +1.80% +8.13% -12.89% -56.03% 13
VEEV Veeva 2.50% 283.50 +0.02% +1.77% +3.06% +27.00% 71
CSGP CoStar 2.50% 27.63 -0.11% +2.52% -10.61% -58.91% 29
IOT Samsara 2.50% 41.74 -1.53% +9.93% +3.83% +17.74% 74
TEM Tempus AI 2.50% 71.98 -13.85% -12.84% +11.39% +21.90% 89
HUBS HubSpot 2.50% 217.09 -1.60% +9.82% -12.32% -45.90% 16
TEAM Atlassian 2.50% 193.98 -1.36% +10.24% +2.32% +19.64% 66
PTC PTC 2.50% 193.00 +0.38% +40.30% +36.86% +10.79% 97
DASTY Dassault Systèmes 2.50% 24.15 +0.25% +3.25% -0.82% -12.57% 61
SIEGY Siemens 2.50% 156.55 +1.18% -2.21% -1.01% +14.17% 55
0268.HK Kingdee 2.50% 7.32 +0.07% -2.60% -17.76% -44.96% 0
4478.T freee 2.50% 3505.00 +1.45% -2.64% -11.60% +16.64% 21
3994.T Money Forward 2.50% 6290.00 +5.95% +7.37% +1.86% +34.75% 63
4180.T Appier 2.50% 1402.00 +2.26% +1.45% +5.49% +30.54% 82
MNDY monday.com 2.50% 84.29 +1.97% +10.83% -7.44% -42.88% 37
SHOP Shopify 2.50% 164.44 +2.70% +10.91% +13.34% +2.16% 92
APP AppLovin 2.50% 278.78 -1.13% -8.79% -13.03% -58.63% 11
RDDT Reddit 2.50% 148.95 -0.98% +2.47% -3.57% -35.20% 47
DUOL Duolingo 2.50% 148.13 +0.70% +3.86% -4.10% -15.60% 45
SPOT Spotify 2.50% 488.13 +1.05% -1.12% -10.01% -15.94% 32
NFLX Netflix 2.50% 68.69 +1.76% -2.29% -12.22% -26.74% 18
MELI MercadoLibre 2.50% 1857.99 -0.14% +7.72% -6.08% -7.76% 39
SE Sea Limited 2.50% 96.53 -0.33% -2.12% -13.88% -24.33% 3
TOST Toast 2.50% 30.25 +0.70% -0.69% -10.90% -14.81% 24

RS rank = the constituent's 21-day return percentile within the index (100 = strongest of the covered names). Weight is the index weight; returns use adjusted closes. Default sort: weight.

Other ETFs & indices

Dispersion is computed across the constituents we cover in our data lake (see coverage badge). Decision-support, not investment advice.

FAQ · from the current data

AW40 dispersion — data Q&A

Is AW40's move broad or carried by a few names (21 sessions)?

As of 2026-10-06: over 21 sessions the fund returned -2.79% while its median constituent returned -2.95% — a dispersion of 10.98 pp; 50% of 38 members beat the fund. Broad decline - breadth is falling with price.

How did AW40's members trade in the last session?

As of 2026-10-06: fund +0.17%, median member +0.30%, 24 advancers vs 14 decliners.

What does the dispersion page for AW40 measure?

It splits the fund into its members: the fund's own return against the median constituent, how many members beat the fund, advancers vs decliners, and a cumulative advance/decline line that tends to lead price. A firm fund price with a weak median and a falling A/D line is a narrow, top-heavy tape; a broad move shows the median keeping up. 38 constituents covered, re-baked nightly from the Closelooknet lake.

Is this investment advice?

No — a data surface in an investment research diary. It describes breadth inside a fund; it makes no recommendation.