UBS Group AG (UBS) — the earnings record
Computed on 2026-09-18 from the vendor's per-print history with the Print Record's method — no desk-written read yet. An investment research diary, not advice.
The record at a glance
Reactions across the covered prints span -1.5% to +3.1% — the beat column and the reaction column frequently disagree, which is the whole reason the record scores them separately. The street carries est EPS $0.92 · est revenue ~$13.22B into the next print.
Print by print
| Date | EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26 | 2026-07-29 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Apr 26 | 2026-04-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 26 | 2026-02-04 | ✗ miss | ✓ beat |
| Oct 25 | 2025-10-29 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Jul 25 | 2025-07-30 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
| Apr 25 | 2025-04-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Feb 25 | 2025-02-04 | ✗ miss | ✗ miss |
| Oct 24 | 2024-10-30 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| Aug 24 | 2024-08-14 | ✓ beat | ✓ beat |
| May 24 | 2024-05-07 | ✓ beat | ✗ miss |
Report-day close to the close three sessions later on adjusted closes, ±3% bands — the same method as every hand-written card; the Print Record method explains the bands. No reaction chart, metric line or behavior read exists for UBS yet.
FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-09-18
Quick answers
How often does UBS Group AG beat earnings estimates?
Across the last 10 covered prints (as of the 2026-09-18 card), UBS Group AG beat EPS estimates 7 of 10 times and revenue estimates 6 of 10 times, with 5 double beats.
How does UBS stock react to earnings?
Measured close-of-print-day to the close three sessions later: 1 of the last 10 prints resolved up (beyond +3%), 9 flat, 0 down — reactions spanning -1.5% to +3.1%. Beat-or-miss and reaction are scored separately because they frequently disagree.
What was UBS's biggest earnings reaction?
+3.1% over the three sessions after the Feb 25 print (2025-02-04).
When does UBS Group AG report earnings next?
2026-10-28 (2026-10-28 · est EPS $0.92 · est revenue ~$13.22B). This record is computed from the vendor's per-print history with the Print Record's method; a desk-written card for UBS does not exist yet. An investment research diary, not advice.
Mentioned on Closelooknet
Where UBS appears in the diary — 4 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.
Go deeper
Long reads
- Memory Chips — Memory Is the New Compute · Closelooknet Heresy VIII
SK hynix’s own outlook cited a UBS estimate of ~70% HBM4 share for NVIDIA’s Rubin platform in 2026 — an analyst figure, not confirmed procurement, but it suggests the lead isn’t purely backward-looking.
- Micron: The Print That Now Prices the AI Trade
UBS's Timothy Arcuri, whose $1,625 target is the highest on Wall Street, does not get there with a higher revenue estimate — he gets there by arguing the long-term, partially fixed contracts justify roughly fifteen times forward earnings…
Dailies
- Memory — Same Name as 2022, a Different Product: Why the AI Cycle Is Not the Old One
Price forecasts disagree too: TrendForce put second-quarter DRAM contract prices up 58% to 63% on the quarter; for the third quarter Jefferies reportedly expects another 40% to 50%, UBS about 23%.
- The Buy Lists Arrive — One Week After K3, the Street Reaches Past Semis
One week after Kimi K3, the first institutional buy lists are out — and UBS's own basket quietly confirms the shape we mapped: the names reach past semiconductors into storage, custom silicon, AI opex and the application layer.
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