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Twilio Inc (TWLO) — chart, structure and Closelooknet read

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The desk on TWLO

What this diary said about Twilio Inc, what it holds and what would change its view — in its own words, dated. Investment diary, not advice.

What we hold

BookPositionSinceResult
AI Cycle 2030 (wikifolio) ↗ 8 shares · average entry €169.02 — —

Model books as of the latest close; wikifolio positions from the official wikifolio data, entries in euros. Results are unrealised, before any exit. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

Our record on TWLO

Every scored call, pick and trade this diary has made on Twilio Inc, with the outcome where it is known.

Signals for this name

Every Closelooknet reading that exists for TWLO, from the same nightly bakes the boards use. Research diary readings, not advice.

Versus its index Agentic Ecosystem Index — the name, its sleeve and the index over day, week and month

Versus its index

The name against its Closelooknet index and its own sleeve — equal-weight, nightly closes.

Agentic Ecosystem Index · as of 2026-10-06

DayWeekMonth3 months
TWLO−6.8%−3.6%+20.4%+30.1%
Runtime & API Gateways−2.0%+0.8%+21.5%—
Agentic Ecosystem Index+1.2%+4.8%+14.4%—

Against the index: 8.4 pts behind on the week, 6.0 pts ahead on the month; against its Runtime & API Gateways sleeve 1.1 pts behind on the month.

Returns from the index workers’ nightly closes; equal-weight sleeves. A relative reading from the research diary, not advice.

Mentioned on Closelooknet 5 pieces · newest: Midday 10, “Payrolls went negative, the bond veto died on appeal, and software went vertical” (2026-08-07)

Mentioned on Closelooknet

Where TWLO appears in the diary — 5 pieces, newest first. Every link is our own writing.

Go deeper

Long reads

  • The Agentic Winners 25Dossier · $49 · 31 Mar 2026Twilio provides the communication APIs through which agents interact with customers via voice, SMS, and messaging.

Dailies

Weather around the name 3 macro readings: Money Temperature, Factor regime, Sovereign pressure

The weather around this name

Macro readings that apply by membership — the regime, the factor tape, the sector cell, the funding backdrop.

  • Money Temperature Composite 61/100 · S&P 500 fund at 75, bullish alignedEight instruments scored on position, momentum, volume, volatility and fragility — the regime every name trades inside. Temperature lab → 2026-10-06
  • Factor regime Momentum leading — risk appetite buildingMomentum against low volatility (SPMO / SPLV): above its 50-day trend, 98th percentile of the window, +5.7% over 20 sessions. Factor regime → 2026-10-06
  • Sovereign pressure Index 0.74 · up 0.17 over 21 sessionsG7 long-end yields, 10s30s and the slope — the funding weather for every balance sheet on this site. Sovereign pressure → 2026-10-06
How it trades on rate days beta 0.09 to TLT · on the worst bond days it held up better than the market

How it trades on rate days

How TWLO has moved when long-dated Treasury yields rise — measured against TLT, the 20+ year Treasury fund.

  • Beta to long bonds, 1 year 0.09 — shows only a loose link to bond moves for every 1% move in TLT (20+ year Treasuries), Twilio Inc moved 0.09% on average · correlation 0.01 · higher than 13% of US names
  • Beta, last 3 months 0.23 about the same as over the year
  • On the 10 worst bond days +0.54% on average against −0.74% for the S&P 500 the 10 sessions of the past year in which TLT fell most, i.e. long yields rose most
  • Latest of those days +3.08% TLT −1.29% that day 2026-09-24

Daily total returns from the adjusted price series; a TLT down day is a day long yields rose. Beta = the average move of the name for a 1% move in TLT. Past sensitivity, not a forecast. An investment diary, not a recommendation.

Who it is priced against Agentic Ecosystem · Runtime & API Gateways · 2 names with week and year-to-date

Peer group

Agentic Ecosystem · Runtime & API Gateways

Compared against TWLO on the nightly bakes; the Peers tab ranks the cohort on the Closelooknet scores where it exists.

Company snapshot — Twilio Inc

TWLO in five paragraphs: what it makes and sells, where it sits in the Closelooknet stack, who it is priced against, why we track it, what we watch. Research diary, not advice.

What it does
Twilio provides application programming interfaces that let companies reach customers through messaging, voice calls, email and video, plus identity checks that confirm who a user is. Its Segment product gathers data from each customer interaction into a single profile that other tools can use. The company is headquartered in San Francisco and lists its software as infrastructure for communication rather than a finished consumer app.
Where it sits in the stack
Twilio has no seat in Rubin, our chip and hardware build-out index; it sits instead in the Agentic Winners 40, our index of software used to run AI agents, in the Runtime & API Gateways sleeve of the agentic ecosystem. Here it is the layer an agent calls through to actually speak, text or email a customer, so it is a constraint on how any agent reaches people outside its own software.
Who it is priced against
Closelooknet's peer group places it with BlackBerry and DigitalOcean under the same Runtime & API Gateways heading, grouped for sharing that gateway role rather than for size; the market also names Salesforce as a competitor on the customer-engagement side.
Why Closelooknet tracks it
Twilio is a constituent of the Agentic Winners 40 and carries a Closelooknet score, strongest on momentum and weakest on valuation. The diary has quoted it in a Dossier on the Agentic Winners 25 describing its role in agent-to-customer communication, and again in the Midday 10 and Morning 10 after results moved the stock sharply.
What the diary watches
Whether the valuation module narrows the gap to momentum as results keep beating, or whether the beat-and-raise pattern seen elsewhere in the same software neighbourhood starts to apply to Twilio's own prints.

Twilio Inc (TWLO) trades on US exchanges. Constituent of Agentic Winners 40.

Written from the company’s public profile and Closelooknet’s own readings, 2026-09-17. Descriptive, refreshed with the registry; corrections welcome via the imprint. closelook.net is an investment research diary — market structure, index membership and scores are our own readings, not investment advice. Related: index compare · sector dispersion · scanner.

The Street on this name 1 analyst action on the wire · latest: price target by HSBC, 2026-09-24

The Street on this name

Analyst actions and the latest print for TWLO from the Closelooknet wires — third-party opinions on the record, not our readings.

  • Price target HSBC — target 211 Target set to $211 (-29.6% to spot) 2026-09-24

1 action on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 target change. Analyst wire → · Earnings wire →

FAQ · from the current data · as of 2026-10-07

Quick answers

What is Twilio Inc (TWLO)?

Twilio Inc trades as TWLO on the US exchange (US) in the Closelooknet research universe, as of the registry build of 2026-10-07.

Is TWLO in a Closelooknet index?

Yes — Twilio Inc is a constituent of Agentic Winners 40, as of 2026-10-07.

What is Twilio Inc's earnings print record?

Across the 10 prints Closelooknet covers, Twilio Inc beat EPS estimates 10 times and revenue estimates 10 times; the three-day reactions split 5 up, 1 flat and 4 down (moves beyond ±3%), as of the 2026-08-06 card. The full print-record card carries the per-print history.

Where does TWLO trade against its moving averages?

Trending: Above its 20-, 50- and 200-day — still in an uptrend. As of 2026-10-05 — a technical state from the nightly Closelooknet bake, not advice. The Technical tab carries the full row.

How is TWLO doing against its Closelooknet index?

Over the past month Twilio Inc is +20.4% against +14.4% for the Agentic Ecosystem Index — 6.0 points ahead of its index, as of 2026-10-06. Its Runtime & API Gateways sleeve is +21.5% over the same month. The “Versus its index” table on this page carries the day, the week and the month for the name, its sleeve and the index.

How does Twilio Inc compare with its peers?

Against its peer group (Agentic Ecosystem · Runtime & API Gateways), Twilio Inc (TWLO) sits 1.6% below its 52-week high, 25.7% above its 50-day average; BlackBerry Ltd (BB) is 33.2% below, DigitalOcean Holdings Inc (DOCN) is 26.8% below. Put any of them next to TWLO in the chart grid (2×1 or 2×2) and the page lays the companies side by side: performance, trend, valuation, margins and our money-flow reading.

How does Twilio Inc trade when bond yields rise?

Over the past year Twilio Inc had a beta of 0.09 to TLT, the long-dated Treasury fund — it shows only a loose link to bond moves, higher than 13% of US names. On the 10 sessions in which long bonds fell most it moved +0.54% on average, against −0.74% for the S&P 500. The "How it trades on rate days" block on this page carries the lines.

Where has Closelooknet written about Twilio Inc?

Twilio Inc appears in 5 Closelooknet pieces, most recently Midday 10: Payrolls went negative, the bond veto died on appeal, and software went vertical (2026-08-07); Morning 10: The AI-opex trade got paid overnight — and the bond veto quietly broke at the close (2026-08-07); Daily Pulse: The Opex Handover — Why the AI Trade Is Rotating, Not Rolling Over (2026-06-30). What Closelooknet said most recently: Twilio +30.9% — through its 52-week high (Midday 10, 2026-08-07). The "Mentioned on Closelooknet" block on this page lists the long reads, the reference entries and the dailies that name it.

Does Closelooknet hold Twilio Inc?

Yes — AI Cycle 2030 (wikifolio): 8 shares · average entry €169.02. A record of what the diary does, not a recommendation to do the same.

What does Twilio Inc do?

Twilio provides application programming interfaces that let companies reach customers through messaging, voice calls, email and video, plus identity checks that confirm who a user is. Its Segment product gathers data from each customer interaction into a single profile that other tools can use. The company is headquartered in San Francisco and lists its software as infrastructure for communication rather than a finished consumer app. Closelooknet's peer group places it with BlackBerry and DigitalOcean under the same Runtime & API Gateways heading, grouped for sharing that gateway role rather than for size; the market also names Salesforce as a competitor on the customer-engagement side.

Where does Twilio Inc sit in the AI build-out?

Twilio has no seat in Rubin, our chip and hardware build-out index; it sits instead in the Agentic Winners 40, our index of software used to run AI agents, in the Runtime & API Gateways sleeve of the agentic ecosystem. Here it is the layer an agent calls through to actually speak, text or email a customer, so it is a constraint on how any agent reaches people outside its own software. Twilio is a constituent of the Agentic Winners 40 and carries a Closelooknet score, strongest on momentum and weakest on valuation. The diary has quoted it in a Dossier on the Agentic Winners 25 describing its role in agent-to-customer communication, and again in the Midday 10 and Morning 10 after results moved the stock sharply.

What has Wall Street done on Twilio Inc recently?

The most recent analyst action on Twilio Inc on the Closelooknet wire is a price target by HSBC on 2026-09-24 (target 211). 1 action on the analyst wire since 2026-08-13: 1 target change. Analyst actions are third-party opinions recorded by the wire, not Closelooknet readings. The “The Street on this name” block on this page lists the moves; the full feeds are the analyst wire and the earnings wire.

What does this page show?

A live price chart with SMA overlays and drawing tools for TWLO, performance metrics, index-membership context and the Closelooknet structure read — an investment research diary view, not investment advice.

Related in the Closelooknet universe

same Closelooknet index seat first, then Software - Infrastructure. Scored names rank on their Closelooknet score; names without one rank on trend state — above or below their 50- and 200-day averages — never on a score they do not carry.